Análise da relação entre os fatores econômicos e sociodemográficos e a variação das mortes violentas intencionais no Nordeste brasileiro

Abstract

Public Security is a fundamental right for everyone and must be approached from a systemic perspective. The Northeast Region of Brazil, which previously had reduced crime indicators compared to states with greater population concentration, is now presenting practically half of the number of Intentional Violent Deaths in the country. Therefore, the objective of this study is to analyze the relationship between economic and sociodemographic factors and intentional violent deaths in the states of the Northeast region of Brazil during the years 2013 to 2022. This research is based on two theories: Economic Crime and Social Inequality. In this context, correlations will be analyzed and a methodology of a quantitative nature will be adopted, using descriptive and longitudinal statistics, using the regression technique for panel data. As a dependent variable, the number of “Intentional Violent Deaths” is proposed, which incorporates other criminal factors. The independent variables will be divided into two axes: Economic and Sociodemographic. An econometric model will be used for panel data from the States based on a base constructed with data extracted from the Demographic Census, PNAD Contínua/IBGE, Brazilian Public Security Yearbook and National Treasury. Therefore, it is intended to contribute to discussions about the causes of Intentional Violent Deaths in the Brazilian Northeast.